™CITY HALL
LA Mayor: Prediction Markets Give Nithya Raman 98% Chance of Beating Karen Bass
The online betting markets have Nithya Raman to beat Karen Bass at 98% as of Wednesday morning.
.jpg) by Eric Chan](images/prediction-markets-give-nithya-raman-98-chance-of-beating-ka.jpg)
Raman on LA City Council float. - [Photo](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nithya_Raman_on_the_Los_Angeles_City_Council_float_2023_(cropped).jpg) by Eric Chan (Photo: Wikimedia public domain, used with permission)
We're just over 60% counted in the race for Los Angeles mayor, and major outlets still have it too close to call (AP).
Raman is ahead of Bass by about two points.
However, the online gambling markets have practically given it to Raman. Kalshi has had the race hovering between 94 and 99% implied probability for Raman since late last night. As of 10:59 AM on Wednesday, Raman is at 98.1%.
We will post an update when it's called.
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